The International Monetary Fund expects Armenia's economic growth to slow to about 5% in the medium term.
The fund notes that Armenia's real GDP growth, projected at 5.5% by the end of 2026, has slowed compared to 2025 (7.1%), but remains stable, while ongoing structural reforms increase resilience to shocks.
“The risks of a worsening forecast are largely related to the difficult geopolitical situation, including the conflict in the Middle East, which puts upward pressure on inflation and may negatively affect exports,” the fund’s press service said in a statement following the visit of the IMF mission led by Alexander Timan to Yerevan on September 16-29.
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